Untitled Document

LADCO TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT

This Technical Support Document was prepared by the Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium (LADCO) to summarize the final air quality analyses conducted by LADCO and its contractors to support the development of State Implementation Plans for ozone, fine particles (PM2.5), and regional haze. The analyses include preparation of regional emissions inventories and meteorological modeling data for two base years (2002 and 2005), evaluation and application of regional chemical transport models, and analysis of ambient monitoring data.

TECHNICAL SUPPORT DOCUMENT (Click Here)

REFERENCES

Alpine Geophysics, 2007, “Emissions Inventory Assistance: 2005 Base Year Biogenic and Other (non-LADCO) State Emissions, Preparation and Delivery of Non-MRPO Emission Files, March 12, 2007.

AER, 2004, “Analysis of Recent Regional Haze Data”, Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Inc., August 2004.

Baker, K., “Hot Spot Test (Draft), Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, March 23, 2005.

Baker, K. 2007a, “Ozone Source Apportionment Results for Receptors in Non-Attainment Counties in the Great Lakes Region”, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, October 2007.

Baker, K., 2007b, “Source Apportionment Results for PM2.5 and Regional Haze at Receptors in the Great Lakes Region”, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, November 2007.

Baker, K. and D. Kenski, 2007, “Diagnostic and Operational Evaluation of 2002 and 2005 8-Hour Ozone to Support Model Attainment Demonstrations”, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, October 2007.

Blanchard, C.L., and S. Tanenbaum, 2003, “VOC and NOx Limitation of Ozone Formation at Monitoring Sites in Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, and Wisconsin, 1998-2002”, Report to LADCO, February 24, 2003.

Blanchard, C.L., and S. Tanenbaum, 2004, “The Effects of Changes in Sulfate, Ammonia, and Nitric Acid on Fine PM Composition at Monitoring Sites in Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio, and Wisconsin, 2000-2002”, Report to LADCO, February 2004.

Blanchard, C.L., and S. Tanenbaum, 2005a, “Weekday/Weekend Differences in Ambient Concentrations of Primary and Secondary Air Pollutants in Atlanta, Baltimore, Chicago, Dallas-Fort Worth, Denver, Houston, New York, Phoenix, Washington, and Surrounding Areas”, Prepared for National Renewable Energy Laboratory, NREL Project ES04-1, May 16, 2005.

Blanchard, C.L., and S. Tanenbaum, 2005b, “Analysis of Data from the Midwest Ammonia Monitoring Project”, Draft Final Technical Memorandum, March 31, 2005.

Breiman, L., J. Friedman, R. Olshen, and C. Stone, 1984, “Classification and Regression Trees”, Chapman & Hall (1984). (Paper copy available upon request.)

Camalier, L., Cox, W., Dolwick, P., 2007. The effects of meteorology on ozone in urban areas and their use in assessing ozone trends. Atmospheric Environment 41, 7127-7137. (Paper copy available upon request.)

Cox, W.M, and S.-H. Chu, 1993, Meteorologically Adjusted Ozone Trends in Urban Areas: A Probabililistic Approach, Atmospheric Environment 27B(4):425-434 (1993). (Paper copy available upon request.)

DeBell, L.J., K. Gebhart, J. Hand, W. Malm, M. Pitchford, B. Schichtel, and W. White, 2006, “Spatial and Seasonal Patterns and Temporal Variability of Haze and its Constituents in the United States, Report IV”, Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere, November 2006.

DRI, 2005, “Source Apportionment Analysis of Air Quality Monitoring Data: Phase II”, Desert Research Institute. March 2005.

EC/R, Incorporated, 2004, “Fire Emissions Inventory Development for the Midwest Regional Planning Organization”, Final Report, September 30, 2004.

EC/R, Incorporated, 2007, “Reasonable Progress for Class I Areas in the Northern Midwest – Factor Analysis”, Draft Final Technical Memorandum, July 18, 2007.

E.H. Pechan, 2004, “LADCO Nonroad Emissions Inventory Project – Development of Local Data for Construction and Agricultural Equipment”, Final Report, September 10, 2004.

E.H. Pechan, 2005, “Development of Updated Growth and Control Factors for Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium (LADCO)”, Draft Report, December 29, 2005.

E. H. Pechan, 2007, “Development of 2005 Base Year Growth and Control Factors for Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium (LADCO)”, Final Report, September 2007.

Environ, 2004, “LADCO Nonroad Emissions Inventory Project for Locomotive, Commercial Marine, and Recreational Marine Emission Sources, Final Report, December 2004.

Environ, 2007a, “Modeling Weekend and Weekday Ozone in Southeast Michigan”, Draft Final Report, Prepared for National Renewable Energy Laboratory, July 30, 2007.

Environ, 2007b, “LADCO 2005 Locomotive Emissions”, Draft, February 2007.

Environ, 2007c, “LADCO 2005 Commercial Marine Emissions”, Draft, March 2, 2007.

Environ, 2008, “LADCO On-Road Emission Inventory Development Using CONCEPT MV”, January 2008.

Hollander, M. and D. Wolfe, 1973, “Nonparametric Statistical Methods”, John Wiley & Sons, New York (1973). (Paper copy available upon request.)

Hopke, P. K., 2005, Analyses of Midwest PM-Related Measurements, Report to LADCO, March 2005.

Kenski, D.M., 2004, Quantifying Transboundary Transport of PM2.5: A GIS Analysis, Proc. AWMA 97th Annual Conf., Indianapolis, June 2004.

Kenski, D.M., 2007a, “CART Analysis for Ozone Trends and Meteorological Similarity”, May 10, 2007.

Kenski, D.M., 2007b, “Impact of Missing Data on Worst Days at Midwest Northern Class 1 Areas”, Donna Kenski, Midwest RPO, March 12, 2007 (revised 6/19/07).

Kenski, D.M., 2008a, “Updated Cox Trends Analysis”, February 2008.

Kenski, D.M. 2008b, “Updated CART Analysis for Ozone through 2007”, January 30, 2008.

LADCO, 2005, “Meteorological Modeling Performance Summary for Applications to PM2.5/Haze/Ozone Modeling Projects”, February 18, 2005.

LADCO, 2006a, “Base K/Round 4 Strategy Modeling” Emissions”, May 16, 2006.

LADCO, 2006b, “Base K/Round 4 Modeling: Summary”, August 31, 2006.

LADCO, 2007a, “Modeling Protocol: 2002 Basecase Technical Details”, October 17, 2007 .

LADCO, 2007b, “Modeling Protocol: 2005 Basecase Technical Details”, October 19, 2007.

LADCO, 2007c, “An Evaluation of an Annual 2005 MM5 Simulation to Support Photochemical and Emissions Modeling Applications”, January 10, 2007.

LADCO, 2007d, “Base M/Round 5 Modeling: Summary (DRAFT), October 10, 2007.

LADCO, 2008a, “Base M Strategy Modeling: Emissions (Revised)”, February 27, 2008.

LADCO, 2008b, “Critique: Modeled Attainment Probability (i.e., Bob Lopez’ analysis)”, January 10, 2008.

Lopez, 2007, “Assessing the Site-Specific and Region-wide Probability of Attainment Level Ozone Air Quality under varying seasonal conditions using the results of 2002 (Round 4) and 2005 (Round 5) Regional Modeling”, Draft 2, Bob Lopez, WDNR, December 12, 2007.

Mansell, G, Z. Wang, R. Zhang, J. Fadel, T. Ramsey, H. Xin, Y. Liang, and J. Arogo, 2005, “An Improved Process-Based Ammonia Emissions Model for Agricultural Sources – Emission Estimates”.

MPCA, 2008, “Technical Support Document for the Minnesota State Implementation Plan for Regional Haze”, Draft, March 4, 2008.

MRPO, 2001, “Principles for Regional Planning”, March 9, 2001.

MRPO, 2007, "Draft List of Class I Areas - Midwest RPO States", June 2007 Version.

MRPO, 2008, “Regional Haze in the Upper Midwest: Summary of Technical Information”, Version 2.2, February 22, 2008.

Millstein, D.E., R.A. Harley, and S.V. Hering, 2007, “Weekly cycles in fine particulate matter”, Atmospheric Environment (2007), doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2007.10.010. (Paper copy available upon request.)

Poirot, R. L.; Wishinski, P. R.; Hopke, P. K.; Polissar, A. V.; Comparative Application of Multiple Receptor Methods To Identify Aerosol Sources in Northern Vermont, Environ. Sci. Technol., 36(4); 820-820 (2002). (Paper copy available upon request.)

Sheesley, R.J., J.J. Schauer, E. Bean, and D. Kenski, Trends in Secondary Organic Aerosol at a Remote Site in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula, Env. Sci. and Tech. 38(24); 6491-6500 (Oct 2004). (Paper copy available upon request.)

STI, 2004, “Data Processing and Analysis of Aloft Air Quality Data Collected in the Upper Midwest”, Executive Summary, STI-903470-2568-ES3, Sonoma Technology, Inc, August 5, 2004.

STI, 2006a, “Integration of Results for the Upper Midwest Urban Organics Study”, Final Report, STI-903520-2942-FR, Sonoma Technology, Inc. March 31, 2006.

STI, 2008, “Data Analysis and Source Apportionment of PM2.5 in Selected Midwestern Cities”, Final Report, STI-907018.03-3264-DRF, Sonoma Technology, Inc., February 2008.

EPA, 1999, Regional Haze Regulations, 64 FR 35714, July 1, 1999.

EPA, 2002, “Recommended Approach for Performing Mid-Course Review of SIPs to Meet the 1-Hour NAAQS for Ozone”, January 2002.

EPA, 2003, “Guidance for Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rule”, EPA-454/B-03-005, September 2003.

EPA, 2005, Final Rule to Implement the 8-Hour Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard, 70 FR 71612, November 29, 2005.

EPA, 2006, “Regulatory Impact Analysis of the Revisions to the National Ambient Air Quality Standards”, September 2006.

EPA, 2007a, "Guidance for on the Use of Models and Other Analyses for Demonstrating Attainment of Air Quality Goals for Ozone, PM2.5, and Regional Haze”, EPA-454/B07-002, April 2007.

EPA, 2007b, “Regulatory Impact Analysis of the Proposed Revisions to the National Ambient Air Quality Standards”, EPA-452/R-07-008, July 2007.

EPA, 2007c, Clean Air Fine Particle Implementation Rule, 72 FR 20586, April 25, 2007.