September 23, 1997

OZONE TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT GROUP

LIST OF MODELING REPORTS

 

DISCLAIMER: This list identifies reports on emissions, meteorological, or photochemical modeling work which may be relevant to OTAG. Inclusion in this list does not necessarily imply acceptance of the results or findings by OTAG.

GENERAL
OT-1  "Ozone Transport Assessment Group: Modeling Protocol", Version 3.0, February 29, 1996

OT-2  "Review of Existing Ozone Measurement and Modeling Studies in the Eastern United States", February 21, 1996, Environ, Inc, Novato, California (Copy available upon request.)

OT-3  "Ozone Transport Assessment Group: Final Report, Chapter 2: Regional and Urban Scale Modeling",DRAFT, July 1997

OT-4  OTAG Policy Papers:
Definition of OTAG's Goal
Modeling System and Episode Selection
Future Emission Projections and Emissions Inventories
Principles for Control Strategy Implementation
Comparison of Scientific Data with Potential New Ozone Standard(s)
Budget Considerations
Resource Needs
Single/Multi-Sector Trading
Timing of OTAG Workgroup Outputs
Formation of Two Additional Modeling Centers and Use of Information from Private Funded Studies

OT-5  Federal Register, Notice of Intent, "Calls for State Implementation Plan Revisions for Certain States to Reduce Regional Transport of Ozone", January 1997

OT-6  Draft Federal Register, Notice of Proposed Rulemaking, "Finding of Significant Contribution and Initiation of a Rulemaking for State Implementation Plan Calls for States in the Ozone Transport Assessment Group for Purposes of Reducing Regional Transport of Ozone, March 13, 1997

OT-7   "OTAG Round 3 Modeling", March 14, 1997, overheads used for "Data Dump" presentation to OTAG Policy Group, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

OT-8   "Round 3 Strategy Modeling: Set 2 Criteria"

OT-9   "The Long-Range Transport of Ozone and Its Precursors in the Eastern United States", February 1997, Northeast States for Coordinated Air Use Management (Copy available upon request.)

OT-10  "Ozone Attainment: Proceeding in the Right Direction", December 1996, Midwest Ozone Group

OT-11  A Technical Review and Appraisal of the Ozone Transport Assessment Group's Ozone Modeling Protocol, February 23, 1996, Tri-State Ozone Attainment Task Force

OT-12  "Benchmarking Air Emissions of Electric Utility Generators in the Eastern United States", April 1997, prepared by Natural Resources Defense Council, Public Service Electric and Gas Company of New Jersey, and Pace University's Mid-Atlantic Energy Project

OT-13  "Has the Battle Against Urban Smog Become 'Mission Impossible'?", November 1996, Center for the Study of American Business.

OT-14 "Final Recommendations", July 8, 1997, OTAG Policy Group

OT-15 Telling the OTAG Story with Data, 6/2/97, Doug Grano, Bob Collom

OT-16   The Ozone Transport Assessment Group: Modeling Activities, M. Koerber & J. Tikvart

OT-17  Ozone Transport Assessment Group: Ozone Modeling, M. Koerber

OT-18   New Model for Ozone Transport, reprint from An Environmental Health Perspectives, 4/97

OT-19   A Regional ozone group ends study; States, EPA near plan to cut Nox; article from Environmental News 3/97

OT-20   OTAG Air Quality Analysis Workgroup Results Summary

OT-21   Summary of Modeling Data, Mike Koerber, June 2-3-1997 Policy Group Briefing Meeting

EMISSIONS MODELING
EOT-1   "OTAG Emissions Inventory Development Report, Volume I: 1990 Base Year Development", DRAFT, December 1996, E.H. Pechan & Associates, Durham, North Carolina

EOT-2   "OTAG Emissions Inventory Development Report, Volume II: Base Year Modeling Inventory Development", DRAFT, Version 1.0, August 1996, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, Des Plaines, Illinois and E.H. Pechan & Associates, Durham, North Carolina

EOT-3   AOTAG Emissions Inventory Development Report, Volume III: Projections and Controls, DRAFT, December 1996, E.H. Pechan & Associates, Durham, NC

EOT-4   "Preliminary Results of the Review and Quality Assurance of the National Emission Inventory", Memorandum dated January 15, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

EOT-5   "Memorandum #2: Preliminary Results of the Review and Quality Assurance of the National Emission Inventory", Memorandum dated January 25, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

EOT-6   "Memorandum #3: Preliminary Results of the Review and Quality Assurance of the National Emission Inventory - MOBILE5a Input Files", Memorandum dated February 2, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

EOT-7   "Preliminary Results of the Review and Quality Assurance of the National Emission Inventory: Summary of Point, Area and Nonroad Source Emissions and Mobile Source Input Parameters (Draft Report)", March 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

EOT-8   "Comparison of the Effects of Biogenic Emission Processors on Biogenic Emissions and UAM-V Simulation Results for Atlanta, Georgia (Draft Report)", April 24, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

EOT-9   "Differences in Emissions Files Used for the 1993 Base Case D2 versus the Other OTAG Episodes", September 13, 1996, MCNC, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina

EOT-10 "Additional Quality Assurance of the OTAG Emissions Data", February 12, 1996, Alpine Geophysics, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

EOT-11   Emission Inventory Workgroup Report, December 17-18, 1996

EOT-12 Emission Inventory Workgroup Report, March 14, 1997

METEOROLOGICAL MODELING
MET-1   "RAMS Modeling Outputs, Standard Plots, July 1991 Episode", January 22, 1996, Wisconsin DNR, Madison, Wisconsin

MET-2   "RAMS Modeling Outputs, Standard Plots, July 1993 Episode", March 18, 1996, Wisconsin DNR, Madison, Wisconsin

MET-3   "RAMS Modeling Outputs, Standard Plots, July 1995 Episode", March 25, 1996, Wisconsin DNR, Madison, Wisconsin (3 Binders)

MET-4   "Evaluation of the Meteorological Inputs to UAM-V for Four OTAG Modeling Periods, Volume I: Text and Appendices A and B (Draft Report)", July 31, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

MET-5   "Evaluation of the Meteorological Inputs to UAM-V for Four OTAG Modeling Periods, Volume II: Appendices C - F (Draft Report)", July 31, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

MET-6   "Evaluation of the MM5 Model for Three 1995 Regional Ozone Episodes over the Northeast United States", October 1, 1996, prepared for Southwestern Pennsylvania Clean Air Stakeholders Group by Alpine Geophysics, Covington, Kentucky

MET-7 "Superregional Ozone Modeling and Analysis Study - Phase II, Work Element 5 Technical Report: Comparative Evaluation of the MM5 and RAMS Models for the July 1991 OTAG Episode", July 26, 1996, prepared for Robinson & McElwee by Alpine Geophysics, Covington, Kentucky

PHOTOCHEMICAL MODELING

GENERAL
PHM-1   "Implementation of Updated Isoprene Chemistry in Photochemical Models using the CB-IV Chemical
Mechanism", July 10, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

PHM-2   "Overview of the Implementation of an Updated Isoprene Chemistry Mechanism in CB4/UAM-V (Revised Memorandum)", July 22, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

PHM-3   A Preparation of Air Quality and Other Inputs for Applications of the UAM-V Model for the 1-15 July 1988 OTAG Modeling Episode, DRAFT Technical Memorandum, August 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

PHM-4   "Classification of Monitoring Sites", July 17, 1996

PHM-5   "Southeast Modeling Center UAM-V Modeling Analysis in Support of the Ozone Transport Assessment Group (OTAG) Modeling Effort", December 21, 1995, Southeast Modeling Center

PHM-6   "Classification and Regression Tree Analysis to Support the Selection of Episodes for Regional Scale Photochemical Modeling of the Southeastern U.S.", December 1995, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

PHM-7   "Regional Ozone Patterns in the Eastern U.S.: Statistical Pattern Analysis and Classification and Regression Tree Analysis in Support of the Ozone Transport Assessment Group (OTAG) Modeling Effort (Draft Report)", August 9, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

PHM-8   "Ozone Return Frequency (1954 - 1995)", February 7, 1997, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina

PHM-9   "Stakeholder Superregional Ozone Modeling and Analysis Study - Phase II: Comparative Evaluation of the SAQM and UAM-V Modeling for the 13-21 July 1991 OTAG Episode", January 24, 1997, prepared for the Midwest Ozone Group by Alpine Geophysics, Covington, Kentucky

PHM-10   "Stakeholder Superregional Ozone Modeling and Analysis Study: Assessment of the Reliability of the OTAG Modeling System", April 28, 1997, prepared for the Midwest Ozone Group by Alpine
Geophysics, Covington, Kentucky

PHM-11   "Classification of Ozone Episodes for Four Southern Cities According to Transport Characteristics", March 1977, prepared for Southern Company Services by Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

PHM-12   Episode-Specific Information: Daily Weather Maps, Surface Ozone Concentration Plots, and Wind Trajectory Plots

PHM-13   "Ozone Source Apportionment Modeling Using OTAG Photochemical Modeling Databases", Environ

PHM-14   "Effect of Threshold Value on Modeling Results"

BASECASE MODELING
BCM-1   Basecase A Modeling Results - Standard Documentation:

  1. 1988
  2. 1991
  3. 1933
  4. 1995

BCM-2   Preliminary OTAG Basecase Modeling Results, April 19, 1996

BCM-2a   Basecase A Modeling Results - Handouts from May 3/4 Meeting

BCM-4    Basecase B2 Modeling Results - Handouts from June 4/5 Meeting

Miscellaneous Basecase B2 and C2 Results

Basecase D2 Modeling Results - Handout from July 23/24 Meeting

BCM-6   Basecase D2 Modeling Results - Standard Documentation:

  1. 1988
  2. 1991
  3. 1993
  4. 1995

BCM-7a   Basecase D2 Modeling Results - Spatial Concentration Plots (July 1996)

BCM-7b   Basecase D2 Modeling Results - Time Series Plots (July 1996)

BCM-7c   Basecase D2 Modeling Results - Scatterplots (July 1996)

BCM-8   A Comparison of Modeled and Measured Ozone, NOx, and CO at Nine Regional Monitoring Stations During the 1995 OTAG Episode (Draft Report), October 1996, ESE Environmental Inc., Durham, North Carolina

BCM-9   An Evaluation of the UAM-V Model Performance in OTAG Simulations, Phase I: Summary of Performance Against Surface Observations, January 1997, STI-996120-1605-FR, Sonoma Technology, Inc., Santa Rosa, California

BCM-9a   DRAFT of BCM-9

BCM-10   "An Analysis of Measured and Predicted Concentrations Aloft of Ozone and Total Reactive Oxides of Nitrogen in the Lake Michigan Airshed During 12-14 July, 1995", DRAFT, Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, Madison, Wisconsin

BCM-11   "An Analysis of Measured and Predicted Concentrations Aloft of Ozone and Total Reactive Oxides of Nitrogen in the Eastern U.S. During July, 1995", DRAFT, January 25, 1997, Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, Madison, Wisconsin

BCM-12   "Lake Michigan Aircraft Data Analysis", letter dated February 10, 1997 from John Roth (State of Wisconsin) to Michael Koerber

BCM-13   "List of Researchers Analyzing Model Performance Aloft", November 22, 1996

BCM-14   "Progress Report on OTAG 1995 Aircraft Data Analysis", October 11, 1996, State of Wisconsin

BCM-15   "Assessment of UAM-V Model Performance in Northeast Region for OTAG Episodes", March 1997, prepared for a consortium of utilities in the Northeast by Earthtech, Inc., Concord, Massachusetts

BCM-16   "Phase I Comparison of OTAG UAM-V/BEIS2 Modeling Results with Ambient Isoprene and Other Related Species Concentrations", March 11, 1997, prepared for the American Automobile Manufacturers Association by Environ, Inc., Novato, California

BCM-17   "UAM-V Simulations in Support of the Base-Case Modeling Analysis for the 1-15 July 1988 OTAG Episode", August 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

BCM-18   Preparation of Air Quality Data, April 1996

DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSES
DAN-1   An Investigation of the Effects of Horizontal Grid Resolution on UAM-V Simulation Results for Three Urban Areas, Report SYSAPP-96\98, October 21, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

DAN-2   "Analysis of the Effects of Grid Resolution on UAM-V Simulated Results for the Atlanta Nonattainment Area", Technical Memorandum SYSAPP-96\98, October 21, 1996, Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

DAN-3   "Assessment of Model Grid Resolution"

DAN-4   Letter from John Jansen (Southern Company Services) to Michael Koerber and Joseph Tikvart, September 1, 1996, concerning model grid resolution, with attachments

DAN-5   "Transmittal of Plots of the MOCA Sensitivity Simulation Results", October 4, 1996, Systems Applications International

DAN-6   "Model Diagnostic/Sensitivity Tests (April - May 1996)", May 16, 1996, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, Des Plaines, Illinois

DAN-7   "Model Diagnostic/Sensitivity Tests (June - August 1996)", September 3, 1996, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, Des Plaines, Illinois

DAN-8   "Examination of the UAM-V Simulation Processes in the Lake Michigan Area for Selected OTAG Baseline and Control Strategy Simulation", June 1977, prepared for the Illinois EPA by Systems Applications International, San Rafael, California

DAN-9   A The Effect of the Updated Isoprene Chemistry on Ozone Concentrations in OTAG, Brian Timin, Jay Lawrimore, Carey Jang, Harvey Jeffries

SENSITIVITY MODELING
SNM-1   July 1988: Standard Documentation for First Round Model Sensitivity Tests

SNM-2   July 1991: "Emissions Sensitivity Tests (April/May 1996)", July 1, 1996, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, Des Plaines, Illinois

SNM-3   "Special Model Sensitivity Tests (September 1996)", October 7, 1996, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, Des Plaines, Illinois

SNM-4   Standard Documentation for First Round Model Sensitivity Tests

SNM-5   July 1993: Standard Documentation for First Round Model Sensitivity Tests

SNM-6   July 1995: Standard Documentation for First Round Model Sensitivity Tests

SNM-7   "First Round Model Sensitivity Tests (June/July/August 1996)"

SNM-8   "Nox Benefits and Disbenefits", December 1996, Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, Des Plaines, Illinois

SNM-9   "Geographic Sensitivity Runs (October/November 1996)"

SNM-10   "Ozone Source Apportionment Modeling Using the July 1991 OTAG Episode for the Northeast Corridor and Lake Michigan Regions", March 1997, prepared for the Midwest Ozone Group by Environ, Inc., Novato, California

SNM-11   "Photochemical Modeling Analysis of the Northwest 'OTAG Free' States Using the July 1995 Ozone Modeling Results", March 11, 1997, prepared for the Northwest OTAG States by Alpine Geophysics, Golden, Colorado

SNM-12   "Stakeholder Superregional Ozone Modeling and Analysis Study - Phase II: Comparison of SAQM and UAM-V Response to Emissions Reduction Scenarios", February 8, 1997, prepared for the Midwest Ozone Group by Alpine Geophysics, Covington, Kentucky

SNM-13   "State-Specific Photochemical Modeling Analysis Using the July 1995 and July 1991 OTAG Modeling Episodes", June 28, 1997, prepared for the Ohio EPA by Alpine Geophysics, Covington, Kentucky

SNM-14   State-Specific Photochemical Modeling Analysis Using the July 1995 OTAG Modeling Episode for the State of Michigan, prepared for the Michigan DEQ by Alpine Geophysics, Covington, Kentucky

SNM-15 Results of Rollout Runs (Tables and Bar Charts)

STRATEGY MODELING
STM-1 "First Round Control Strategy Modeling (September/October 1996)"

STM-2 "Second Round Control Strategy Modeling (November/December 1996)"

ADDITIONAL MODELING
ADM-1 "Review of Alternative Future Year Baseline" (May 1997)

ADM-2 "Impact of Coarse Grid States" (May 1997)

ADM-3 "Urban/Regional Linkage Runs - Part I" (June 1997)

ADM-4 "Urban/Regional Linkage Runs - Part II" (June 1997)

ADDITIONAL MATERIAL RELATED TO STAKEHOLDER PRESENTATIONS
AM-1 Information for Southwestern States

AM-2 Northwest OTAG States

AM-3 "Quality of Explanation: Thinking about and using air quality models", Dr. Harvey Jeffries

AM-4 May 1, 1997 Letter from Dwight Wylie (State of Mississippi) to Merrylin Zaw-Mon and Bill Baker

AM-5 "Least Cost Options to Reduce Ozone Concentrations in OTAG Regions", February 13, 1997, Hagler
Bailly Services, Inc.

AM-6 "Estimating Emission Weights for Metro East and Greater Chicago Metropolitan Area", July 25, 1997,
Hagler Bailly Services, Inc.

CONFERENCE CALLS
RUSM Conference Calls - Announcements and Notes

MEETINGS
July 14, 1995, Modeling and Assessment Subgroup, and Strategies and Control Subgroup Meetings
August 24, 1995, Modeling and Assessment Subgroup, and Strategies and Control Subgroup Meetings
November 13, 1995, RUSM Meeting
December 18, 1996, Policy Group Meeting
January 16, 1997, Policy Group Meeting
January 23, 1997, Emissions Market Systems Workshop
March 14, 1997, Policy Group Meeting
April 16-17, 1997, Policy Group Meeting
May 13-14, 1997, Policy Group Meeting
June 19-20, 1997, Policy Group Meeting
Meeting Summary, May 18, 1995, Policy Group
Meeting Summary, June 24, 1995, Policy Group
Meeting Summary, July 14, 1995, Modeling and Assessment Subgroup, and Strategies and Control Subgroup
Meeting Summary, August 24, 1995, Policy Group
Meeting Summary, September 6-7, 1995, Strategies and Controls Subgroup
Meeting Summary, September 12-13, 1995, Strategies and Controls Subgroup
Meeting Summary, October 5-6, 1995, Policy Group
Meeting Summary, December 4, 1995, Policy Group
Meeting Summary, December 4, 1995, Implementation Strategies and Issues Workgroup
Meeting Summary, December 4, 1995, Modeling and Assessment Subgroup
Meeting Summary, December 4, 1995, Strategies and Controls Subgroup
Meeting Summary, January 24, 1996, Strategies and Controls Subgroup
Meeting Summary, February 26, 1996, Implementation Strategies and Issues Workgroup
Meeting Summary, February 29, 1996, Modeling and Assessment Subgroup
Meeting Summary, February 29, 1996, Strategies and Controls Subgroup
Meeting Summary, April 11, 1996, Policy Group
Meeting Summary, June 5, 1996, Policy Group
Meeting Summary, June 19, 1997, Policy Group